Elon Musk updated its forecast on first manned mission to Mars and, again, the date is a little later than the previous one. While NASA made perhaps more realistic predictions at first, SpaceX began by announcing a surprisingly early date. However, this has been postponed from time to time, with a final update already placing the launch in 2029.
The reason, beyond pandemics and armed conflicts, seems to be linked to the fact that the shuttle star ship which would be used for the trip is not yet ready. It is true that they have made very significant progress in recent months, but not enough to meet their predictions more optimistic.
It should be noted that a trip to Mars from Earth cannot be made at any time. The movement of the two planets, as well as other important factors, lead to the existence of very specific periods, called launch windowswhere you can embark on such a journey.
The closest yet would be at the end of this year. In fact, he is the one who allegedly used the European Space Agency (ESA) send its first rover to Mars without breaking its ties with Russia. Then there will be another at the end of 2024. This is the one you initially chose Elon Muskeven if he quickly realized that he would have to wait for the next one, end of 2026. In fact, as of December 2021, he was still holding that date. However, this week the CEO of SpaceX announced that everything was postponed again until the next window, which will take place between late 2028 and early 2029. Specifically, Musk announced the postponement of the trip to Mars. by 2029. Who knows? At this rate, it could end up coinciding with NASA’s predictions.
Journey to the Moon and then to Mars
This year marks half a century since the last time a human walked on the moon. It was with the mission apollo 17in 1972. Since then, many missions have been sent to our satellite, but none manned.
With this, an attempt was made to learn a little more about the terrain, so that further incursions through the selenite terrain would be safer for the astronauts. In addition, it is expected that the new mission will have a renewed air, according to the eras, and include at least one woman in the crew. To this end, the development Artemis program, to which belong both NASA and its counterparts in Europe (ESA), Japan (JAXA), Canada (CSA), Brazil (AEB), Australia (ASA) and Mexico (AEM). Initially, the mission’s first landing was scheduled for 2024. However, development issues with spacesuits and the landing system led to a postponement until 2026.
Once this trip to the Moon is over, NASA sets its sights on Mars. However, from the beginning, it was announced that this manned mission could not be carried out before the 2030s. Instead, Elon Musk was much more optimistic. Its objective is to colonize the red planet as quickly as possible, thanks to the use of its reusable Starship shuttle. SpaceX has been working for many years to get everything ready. But maybe it was too early with the dates.
Elon Musk’s new prediction
The Twitter account SpaceHub posted a message this week wondering when humans would first set foot on Mars. He made direct mention of Elon Musk asking about his predictions.
Since December 2021, date on which I was still betting on 2026, the CEO of SpaceX had not given new dates. However, he responded to that Twitter post with a brief “2029.”
It therefore seems that the arrival of humans on Mars is again delayed. In Spain this week we had a small simulation with the haze generated by the Sahara dust, but we need more. And for everything to be ready, there are still a few years left.